At the beginning of the Covid-19 Pandemic Crisis, we at FiRMM have been asking “What can we expect tomorrow’s infection numbers to be?”. Because the spread of viruses tendentially follow an exponential function, we have decided to model our projections according to one. You can find our main page detailing our data here. We hope that this will help you gain some perspective on how the situation may continue to develop.
Of course, it is always worth remembering that this is a simple statistical model, and we are in no way concluding that the real number of cases will continue to follow an exponential function. Please use the information here at your own discretion.
In this article by our partner Cardio Praxis, they go into greater detail on explanations of the use of the exponential curve. Here in another article (german), they provide us with information on how we might be able to recognise early signs of infection by the Coronavirus; useful information for all of us trying to understand and tackle this unprecedented situation.